By: Benedict Freedom

The 2023 general elections in Sierra Leone resulted in a decisive victory for the Sierra Leone People's Party (SLPP), led by President Julius Maada Bio. The All People's Congress (APC), the main opposition party, found itself on the losing end, a position it has occupied since 2018. As the dust settles and the country begins its journey towards the next electoral cycle, a pressing question emerges: Can the APC stage a comeback in 2028?

To answer this question, we must delve into several key factors that will shape the political landscape of Sierra Leone over the next five years.

1. Leadership and Internal Cohesion

One of the most significant challenges facing the APC is its leadership crisis and internal divisions. The 2023 elections highlighted the party's struggles with unity and direction. If the APC hopes to regain power, it must first resolve these internal conflicts and present a united front. A charismatic and visionary leader, capable of uniting the various factions within the party, will be crucial. The APC's ability to renew its leadership and offer a compelling alternative to the SLPP will determine its chances in 2028.

2. SLPP's Performance in Governance

The success or failure of the SLPP in governing the country will play a pivotal role in the APC's chances of returning to power. If the Bio administration delivers on its promises, particularly in areas such as economic development, healthcare, education, and infrastructure, the APC will face an uphill battle. However, if the SLPP fails to address the pressing issues facing Sierra Leoneans, such as unemployment, corruption, and poverty, public dissatisfaction could provide the APC with the opportunity to capitalize on the electorate's discontent.

3. Electoral Reforms and Political Climate

The fairness and transparency of the electoral process will be another critical factor. The 2023 elections were marred by allegations of irregularities, a situation that undermined public trust in the electoral system. For the APC to have a fair shot in 2028, there must be significant reforms to ensure a free and fair electoral process. This includes strengthening the independence of the Electoral Commission of Sierra Leone (ECSL) and ensuring that all political parties have equal access to resources and media coverage.

4. Youth and Grassroots Engagement

Sierra Leone's youth population is growing, and they are increasingly becoming a significant force in the country's politics. The APC must engage with this demographic by addressing their concerns and aspirations. Investing in youth leadership and grassroots mobilization will be essential in building a strong and motivated base of supporters. The party must also adapt to the changing dynamics of political communication, leveraging social media and other digital platforms to reach a broader audience.

5. Regional and Ethnic Dynamics

Sierra Leone's politics have traditionally been influenced by regional and ethnic loyalties. The APC's stronghold has historically been in the Northern and Western regions, while the SLPP has dominated the South and East. To win in 2028, the APC must broaden its appeal beyond its traditional base and make inroads into SLPP-dominated areas. Building alliances and promoting a message of national unity and inclusivity will be crucial in overcoming the regional and ethnic divides that have long characterized Sierra Leonean politics.

The question of whether the APC will come back to power in 2028 is far from settled.

The party faces significant challenges, both internal and external, but it also has opportunities to reassert itself on the national stage. The next five years will be critical in determining the APC's fate. If the party can resolve its internal conflicts, present a visionary leadership, engage with the youth and grassroots, and capitalize on any shortcomings of the SLPP, it stands a chance of making a comeback in 2028.

However, failure to address these issues could consign the APC to yet another term in opposition. The road to 2028 is long, and much will depend on the actions and decisions taken by the APC in the years ahead.